Weekend paper wrap with Bob Mabena
Last week we witnessed a public apology to former President Thabo Mbeki from Zwelinzima Vavi. This was an unprecedented but somewhat expected further step away from President Zuma. On Friday we saw the M&G reporting that the SACP was regretful it created a cult around Zuma. According to thin paper, there is an SACP document that is titled “Meeting the challenges facing the Trade Union movement” and the contents thereof seems to suggest that most in the tripartite alliance are getting ready ready for life After Msholozi. Party leaders have realized that they have a lot of damage from Polokwane to deal with and add to that the subsequent excessive personalizing of politics and developing personality cults. The SACP is disappointed with the ANC and this has led to some of the Communists in provinces to push for the party to go it alone – the REDS are tired of working to convince their people to keep voting for the ANC. This, my friends, is a litmus test for a lot of JZ’s friends and their true blood will be tested. The list of people who have to be tested is quite long because Number One made sure that a whole lot of his backers were employed – Blade Nzimande, Jeremy Cronin, Senzeni Zokwana, Thulas Nxesi, Buti Manamela, Rob Davies are all SACP and they have cushy jobs. Will they fight for what is ideologically right or will they try save their jobs? ANC nationalists look like they are ready to take back power after Zuma’s term ands and that spells trouble for the Commies. So, where is a good Communist when you need one? – Somewhere in parliament or driving around in a German luxury car.
And then there is the biggest issue that will spill over into this week and probably stay with us for a very long time – Marikana. The story still reads like the dark days of Apartheid. The text includes phrases like “most were shot dead while hiding “; “an R5 bullet tore through the bottom of his thigh and exited through his ribs”; “he was shot at and interrogated and more shots were fired into his body, including his groin”; ” miners were shot at while hiding and even attempting to surrender”. Even George Bizoz cannot believe that this country was witnessing such wanton cruelty after 1994. What we have to deal with now is the consequences or fallout rim this tragedy and that includes the hard target that is Riah Phiyega. The National Police Commissioner was two months into this job and she is now the “fall guy”. The City Press report this weekend that she is ready for a fight and will not go quietly. This is going to be a very tough week for her and both Cyril Ramaphosa and Number One. The EFF is hellbent on prosecuting The Deputy Pres and apparently Sholozi is already positioned to replace Riayh Phiyega. Oh what a tangled web we weave…. Spare a thought while you are at it, for the widows and families of those who perished on that fateful day in the North West Province.
And finally lets talk FDI – This is viewed as a more stable source of investment into the country’s economy as compared with investment inflows into the bond or stock markets. South Africa’s performance in this area is in a position where metaphorically speaking, it’s like trying to find a new man for Kelly Khumalo. Here are the numbers: Flows to East and Central Africa increased by 11% and 33% respectively for 2014. South Africa, and globally there was a tapering off of 16%. Developing countries (read BRICKS) rose by 2%. South Africa however saw a reduction of about 21%. ESKOM is one of the main causes of this and throw in labour unrest and chameleon like economic policies and my afore mentioned metaphor rings true. Be warned my friends, Greece just didn’t instantaneously get into its current mess, the rot started a while ago, there was just no getting out of it once traction set it. Is South Africa heading that way? Only time will tell but the signs are there already. Let’s hope that post Zuma, the ANC elects a more agile leadership to stave off Greek like disasters.